Expected Value Theory: The Unreliable Friend

A primer for the risk-averse and the gullible

Welcome, decision-maker extraordinaire! Today, we'll explore the concept of Expected Value (EV), the trusty sidekick you thought you knew, but might just be leading you astray.

Imagine EV as a charming, but slightly dishonest friend who always promises the best outcomes. "Just one more spin of the wheel, and you'll win big!" EV says, never mind the actual odds.

Pros and Cons of trusting EV

But don't worry, it's not all bad! EV has its uses, like a trusty calculator for the risk-averse. Want to know more?

EV's got a few tricks up its sleeve

So, are you ready to get to know EV a little better? Or will you be like, "Uh, no thanks, EV? I'll stick with my gut."

Back to Decision prophets