Technique 7: Advanced Guessing

Subverting the Limits of Uncertainty

With Advanced Guessing, you're not just winging it anymore. This technique requires a deep understanding of the fundamental forces of probability and a healthy dose of hubris.

Here are the key principles:

• Act 3, Scene 5: The Gambler's Fallacy - Don't let your expectations influence your expectations.
• The Monte Carlo Method - Simulate your way to victory.
• The Feynman Technique - If at first the answer is not obvious, the answer is not obvious.

For more on the Feynman Technique, see:

The Feynman Technique - Because sometimes the answer is just not obvious, man.

And for a more practical application, see:

Craps Guessing Strategy - Because why not?

Or for a truly existential look at the nature of chance and probability:

Quantum Fluctuations