The Fine Art of Calculating Your Chances of Success

Warning: This site contains high levels of uncertainty.

You are currently at 42% chance of success. Adjust your expectations accordingly.

Probability of success is like the weather:

A bar chart with a 42% chance of rain

Probability of Success Chart

Chance of Success Probability of Failure
100% 0%
42% 58%

Don't worry, it's not all bad! There's still a 58% chance you'll fail!

Want to see the odds of a specific outcome? Try our Odds Calculator

Or maybe you'd like to know more about Risk Management?

Statistics of Chaos is a must read for any true probability enthusiast!